Hype curves
I saw a post on Techcrunch about a hype curve for emerging technologies. I won’t reproduce the curve here as I am not sure about the legality of posting it. However, if you go over to techcrunch you can see the curve. I was very surprised to see the position of some of the technologies on the graph and the timeline to entering the mainstream.
For example wikis are behind SOA on the graph and both are 2-5 years from the mainstream. I would have thought that wikis would be ahead of SOA and that wikis had already reached the mainstream. Cloud computing is still in the technology trigger section of the curve and again is 2-5 years from the mainstream. I would have expected cloud computing to be closer to the mainstream.
Unfortunately the original Gartner report is hidden behind a toll barrier so I am not able to read the reasons for the positions of the technologies on the graph at present.
Where would repositories be placed on this curve? And what would be the timeframe for mainstream acceptance? Personally, I would place repositories in the trough of disillusionment and I would hope that they are 2-5 years from the mainstream.